“Everything’s fine out the window … oh no,
look, I can see society collapsing,” said Paul, a French-Greek
journalist working in Athens. Out his window is Ermou, the wide shopping
street that leads down to Syntagma Square. I’d phoned him to see what
was going on, and to check the “Greece in turmoil” line that has become
de rigeur in the official coverage of the crisis.
Paul didn’t need much of an invitation to take the piss out of that
line. What has happened in the development of the Greek-European
crisis — and the inter-connected coverage of it — has been
extraordinary, but also indicative of the topsy-turvy world of
capitalism, finance, and its relation to everyday life. It is a lesson
worth following closely, because Greece is a harbinger of what will
happen not merely in Europe, but across the world over the next decade
as the vast global superbubble of neoliberalism slowly deflates.
Six months ago, Greece really was starting to fray — due to the
determination of the two major parties, PASOK and New Democracy, to
impose the austerity measures of the EU “memorandum” no matter how
stupid or self-defeating — and the deep frustration of the public at the
impasse between the political system and popular feeling.
But then, after six months of “technocratic” rule (really, EU
satrapy), an election was held, and lo and behold, the hold of the major
parties was broken, and new forces — Syriza, a leftist outfit, and
Independent Greeks, a right-wing nationalist breakaway — managed to
break through, gaining about 50 and 30 seats respectively. The vote may
have scattered across several parties but the result was clear — 60% of
votes went to parties that rejected the terms of the memorandum. At the
same time, 80% of Greeks want to stay in the euro and the EU. They
reject the old parties, but they also reject the notion that the only
way to square away the debt is needless pain enacted for largely
ceremonial purposes.
So, in other words, the people’s desires have entirely transformed
the structure of Greek politics. Or, as it might otherwise be called,
democracy. For surely, if democracy means anything, it means the
capacity of a vote to up-end everything. In any real democracy, the
party structure should collapse and recombine every 25-30 years or so.
Large parties are, after all, coalitions of temporarily united values
and interests. When the circumstances change, so should they.
That is what has happened in Greece. Rather than the shell-game of
finance capitalism dictating the terms, people have made a fairly clear
statement of what they want — the social-political has come to the
centre of society, as it should. What the morons who constitute the
ranks of financial journalism call “chaos” is really the exact
opposite — it is politics, people expressing their will in a non-violent
form, and then trying to negotiate an arrangement between differing
manifestations of ideas and interests.
Chaos, by contrast, can be seen on the screen on every finance trader
across the Western world, where stocks, shares, currencies move
according to no rational basis, driven by the echo chamber of rumour.
The idea that the business of everyday life should be governed by these
processes rather than by the rational activity of production for use,
indicates the nihilism at the heart of the market, its alliance with
dead matter — numbers, money, power — rather than life.
The Greeks have rebelled against this. It looks like their rebellion
will continue — with the failure of the latest attempts to form a
coalition government the country is going back to the polls. Syriza, the
left coalition that had taken 5% of the vote in the last election, and
17% in this, is now polling in the mid-twenties.
Such a result — if it occurred in the new elections, to take place in
mid-June — would give Syriza the 50-seat bonus still in place. That
would give them about 120 seats out of 300. Presuming that Democratic
Left retained 10 seats or so — they would lose some seats back to
Syriza — then there would be extreme pressure on Independent
Greeks — the right-wing breakaway party — to support Syriza in their
shared belief, a rejection of the austerity measures contained in the
second memorandum.
That would deliver a government expressing the popular sentiment — in
Europe but rejecting the memorandum. That is the scenario — a rational
democratic one — that finance journalists call “the nightmare”. It is,
but not in the manner they suggest. The truth is, that if Syriza forms
government while rejecting the memorandum, but refuses to unilaterally
leave the euro, then it is really Europe’s problem, not Greece’s. The
usual groupthink that has everyone writing articles as to how Greece
will leave the euro next week, etc, fails to take account of the fact
that there is no easy way to expel a country from the eurozone. The onus
is on the EU to do the expelling.
So everything from here on is uncharted. The technocratic Greek
government — which remains in place — paid off an €5 billion-plus bond
issue that came due today — but interest is due on hundreds of billions
of euros of debt in the next month — much of it euro-debt — and the
country has less than a billion euros in foreign reserves. So the EU
would have to decisively refuse to underwrite the next series of
payments — which would simply go from one euro account to another — in
order to force the crisis.
The sensible solution would be the one proposed by new French
President Francois Hollande — that bad Greek debt be swapped for
eurobonds, and that the private debt take an 80-90% haircut, and that a
rational 10-20 year paydown of what debt remains be negotiated without
strangling the Greek economy — which would then shrink the economy
further, and make it impossible for the country to repay its debts. It
is utterly irrational, but so too is neoliberalism — it is the
equivalent of the Incas believing that only human sacrifice would keep
the sun rising, and that the advance of the conquistadors meant that
they should redouble their efforts of tearing hearts out of chests on
the top of ziggurats, rather than responding to the immediate threat in a
rational and direct manner.
Every number quoted by the finance journalists — the hundreds of
billions of euros owed, the terms coming due — are all bullshit. All
that is due is the interest payments, and most of those are ludicrously
inflated by the shell-game that got Greece into this mess in the first
place — the sudden downrating of Greek debt by ratings agencies
part-owned by the very banks that would profit from a hike in interest
rates in the first place. Most finance journalists are simply unthinking
propagandists of a system they have neither the intelligence nor the
desire to examine.
Greece is now the cutting edge of the world. And Syriza is the most
advanced political expression around. The party that the finance
journalists call “strident” and lump in with the Nazi freak-show of
Golden Dawn, is in reality an expression of the rationality within
modernity — the idea that complex systems such as finance capital should
be tools of humanity, rather than vice versa. People who think that the
world can be covered by noting the movements of the FTSE, the Dow and
the Kak better get used to what is happening in Greece, because it will
soon be happening elsewhere.
Of course, with a month before the new elections, it is always
possible that the voters in Greece will return to a mainstream
pro-memorandum party, guided by fear. Should that occur, the
relationship between the polity and the people will be sundered afresh,
and everything up to civil war will have happened. Should Syriza
triumph, then history will have happened, and Europe, the markets and
their trailing sycophants in the financial press will have to adjust.
Look away from the screen and out the window, and you might see the
world.
Source: http://www.crikey.com.au/ [accessed 18/05/2012]